Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.064628 0.076387 0.089555 0.105379 0.123862 0.144751 0.170137
2025-05-11 0.047001 0.062321 0.081408 0.106863 0.139844 0.181054 0.236370
2025-05-18 0.037621 0.054547 0.077447 0.110532 0.156923 0.219448 0.309875
2025-05-25 0.029357 0.045906 0.069905 0.106980 0.162493 0.242142 0.364615
2025-06-01 0.024335 0.040636 0.065739 0.106822 0.171896 0.270375 0.429877
2025-06-08 0.020283 0.035949 0.061420 0.105326 0.178465 0.294531 0.491397
2025-06-15 0.017866 0.033416 0.059964 0.107910 0.191452 0.329745 0.574102
2025-06-22 0.015293 0.030105 0.056594 0.106586 0.197458 0.353959 0.641262
2025-06-29 0.013001 0.026873 0.052800 0.103814 0.200322 0.372837 0.701091
2025-07-06 0.011045 0.023923 0.049027 0.100424 0.201417 0.388418 0.756472
2025-07-13 0.010031 0.022679 0.048300 0.102690 0.213304 0.424752 0.853813
2025-07-20 0.009014 0.021245 0.046965 0.103502 0.222358 0.456615 0.946052
2025-07-27 0.008068 0.019831 0.045512 0.103982 0.231047 0.489250 1.044646
2025-08-03 0.007319 0.018737 0.044587 0.105469 0.242066 0.527886 1.160049
2025-08-10 0.006812 0.018126 0.044636 0.109097 0.258129 0.578651 1.306282
2025-08-17 0.005904 0.016359 0.041752 0.105590 0.257862 0.594820 1.380692
2025-08-24 0.005316 0.015301 0.040383 0.105435 0.265184 0.628179 1.496245
2025-08-31 0.004732 0.014143 0.038585 0.103957 0.269161 0.654447 1.598719
2025-09-07 0.004412 0.013655 0.038408 0.106509 0.283189 0.705158 1.762760
2025-09-14 0.003955 0.012688 0.036828 0.105201 0.287429 0.733377 1.876951
2025-09-21 0.003495 0.011626 0.034823 0.102463 0.287642 0.751914 1.969825
2025-09-28 0.003070 0.010586 0.032713 0.099116 0.285798 0.765150 2.051055
2025-10-05 0.002880 0.010257 0.032591 0.101354 0.299270 0.818319 2.238497